Big 12 Football Predictions: Texas A&M Aggies vs. Kansas State Wildcats

Texas A&M Aggies at No. 14 Kansas State Wildcats
Saturday, 11/12/11, 3:30 PM EST, TV:  ABC
Opening Point Spread:  Texas A&M -5.5
Current Betting Line:  Texas A&M -5
Opening Total:  66
Current Total:  64.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Kansas State Wildcats are 5-1 ATS as an underdog this year

Texas A&M will be aiming to snap a two-game losing streak and also become bowl eligible for the 33rd time in program history with a win Saturday.  The Aggies have had all kinds of trouble in the second half this year, getting outscored 101-30 after halftime in their four losses.  Offensively, few teams are better than this squad, ranking sixth in the nation in averaging 520.6 yards per game.  The team will be missing one of its biggest weapons for the rest of the year though, as leading rusher Christine Michael is out with a torn ACL.  Texas A&M is 1-5 ATS versus conference opponents this year, while the ‘over’ is 5-4 in its nine games.

The Aggies still have a productive back in Cyrus Gray, who is just 14 rushing yards away from becoming the program’s fifth 3000-yard rusher.  Texas A&M also has a capable quarterback in Ryan Tannehill, needing 299 yards for his first 3,000-yard season.  The team has taken advantage of its time in the red zone, scoring on 40-of-43 opportunities, which leads the Big 12 Conference and ranks seventh nationally.

Kansas State comes in on a two-game losing streak, dropping games against the Oklahoma Sooners and Oklahoma State Cowboys.  The Wildcats have covered seven of their last nine games, including a 52-45 loss to the Cowboys as 20.5-point road underdogs.  “I think we’re a good football team, we just haven’t proven that recently,” commented Wildcats head coach Bill Snyder.  A big part of the team’s success this year has been turnover margin, ranking eighth nationally in that category.  Kansas State is 5-1 ATS as an underdog this year.

The Wildcats are led offensively by quarterback Collin Klein, who ranks second among national signal-callers in gaining 100.7 rushing yards per game.  Kansas State is 6-8 all-time in this series, but has come away victorious in the last two meetings, including a 62-14 blowout win on Oct. 17, 2009 as five-point home underdogs.  Finishing the season strong is one of the staples of this program under Snyder, posting a 43-16 record in November.  Kansas State is also 56-24-1 when playing league games at home over the past 20-plus years.

Bettors will likely back the Wildcats due to their 4-1 ATS mark as a home underdog of 3.5 to 10 points, while the Aggies are 1-5 ATS versus conference foes.

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