Iowa St Cyclones at Missouri Tigers
Faurot Field – Columbia, Missouri
Saturday, October 15, 2011, 2:00 pm Eastern, TV: None
Opening Line: Missouri -13 1/2
Current Line: Missouri -14 1/2
Opening Total: 55 1/2
Current Total: 55
Opening Money Line: Missouri -550 / Iowa St +450
Current Money Line: Missouri -550 / Iowa St +450
The 3-2 Iowa St Cyclones travel to the 2-3 Missouri Tigers in a key Big 12 game for the teams as they both are 0-2 in conference. Iowa St is coached by Paul Rhoads and started off the season 3-0 with home wins over Northern Iowa 20-19 and Iowa 44-41 in overtime, and at Connecticut 24-20. However, the Cyclones have gone on a 2 game losing streak at home to Texas 37-14 and last week at Baylor 49-26. Both Baylor and Texas are ranked in the top 25. Missouri is coached by Gary Pinkel, and has home wins over Miami-Ohio 17-6 and Western Illinois 69-0. All three losses for the Tigers happened on the road at top 25 teams, at Arizona St 37-30 in overtime, 38-28 at Oklahoma, and last week at Kansas St 24-17. Missouri leads the series against Iowa St 60-34-9 and has won 3 straight including 14-0 last year in Ames. The Tigers have won 4 straight in Columbia.
Iowa St took a 14-7 lead early in the second quarter but Baylor outscored them 42-12 from that point on to win 49-26 and cover the 15 point college football betting line. Iowa St had 425 total yards including 181 rushing yards. Cyclone quarterback Steele Jantz threw for 244 yards, including 3 touchdowns, and an interception in the loss. Receiver Darius Reynolds had 7 catches for 178 yards and 2 touchdowns. Running back James White had 15 carries for 148 yards, and a touchdown. Iowa St missed 2 extra points in the loss. Both teams had 2 turnovers but Iowa St had 7 penalties as well. Baylor had 603 total yards including 391 rushing yards.
Iowa St is averaging 389.4 yards a game including 240.2 passing yards. The Cyclones are scoring 25.6 points a game. The Cyclones have 15 turnovers and have allowed 13 sacks. Iowa St is 43/98 on third and fourth down conversions, and 14/21 scoring in the red zone with 13 touchdowns. The Cyclones are allowing 419.2 yards including 202 rushing yards a game on defense. Iowa St is allowing 33.2 points a game. The Cyclones have forced 7 turnovers and 8 sacks. Iowa St opponents are 33/81 on third and fourth down conversions, and 17/22 scoring in the red zone with 11 touchdowns. The Cyclones average 9 penalties for 75 yards a game.
Jantz is 106/192 passing for 1,161 yards with 10 touchdowns and 8 interceptions along with 67 carries, 148 yards, and 2 touchdowns. White has 58 carries, 323 yards, and 5 touchdowns, along with 7 catches for 36 yards. Shontrelle Johnson has 51 carries for 247 yards,and 5 catches for 40 yards. Reynolds has 26 catches, 488 yards, and 6 touchdowns. Aaron Horne has 20 catches, 230 yards and no touchdowns. Josh Lenz has 16 catches, 184 yards, and 2 touchdowns. Kicker Zach Guyer is 12/12 on extra points and 1/3 on field goals with a 36 yard kick. He missed the Baylor game with an injury but is expected to play this week. Grant Mahoney replaced him and was 2-4 on extra points and didn’t attempt a field goal. He is 1-3 for the season on field goals with a 54 yard kick. Iowa St has 8 players out indefinitely or for the season.
Missouri was a 4 point favorite last week at Kansas St, but found themselves down 24-3 early in the fourth quarter. Missouri scored two late touchdowns to make the score closer than it was but still lost 24-17. Neither team moved the ball very well as Missouri only had 326 total yards, including 112 rushing yards. Kansas St had 286 total yards including 174 rushing yards. Both teams had a turnover but Missouri had 7 penalties as well.
Missouri is averaging 478.8 yards and 32.2 points a game. The Tigers are 15th in the nation in rushing with 225 yards a game. Missouri has 4 turnovers and has allowed 9 sacks this season. The Tigers are 26/77 on third and fourth down conversions. The Tigers are 17/20 scoring in the red zone but only have 11 touchdowns. Missouri is giving up 336.8 yards a game including 104.4 rushing yards. Missouri is allowing 21 points a game. The Tigers have forced 6 turnovers and 8 sacks this season. Tiger opponents are 26/74 on third and fourth down conversions, and 14/16 scoring in the red zone with 11 touchdowns. The Tigers are averaging just under 9 penalties for 71 yards a game.
Missouri quarterback James Franklin is 96/161 passing with 1,199 yards, 7 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, along with 83 carries, 306 yards, and 5 rushing touchdowns. Running back Henry Josey has 55 carries, 588 yards, and 5 touchdowns, along with 5 catches for 65 yards. Six Tiger receivers have caught at least one touchdown pass this season. T.J. Moe has 26 catches, 317 yards, and a touchdown. Michael Egnew has 16 catches, 170 yards, and a touchdown. Wes Kemp has 14 catches, 169 yards, and 2 touchdowns. La’Damian Washington has only 8 catches, but has two touchdown catches. Kicker Grant Ressel is 20/20 on extra points and 7/13 on field goals with a long of 47 yards. The Tigers have 5 players listed as doubtful or out for this game including linebackers Will Ebner & Brandon Durant and offensive linemen Chris Freeman, Elvis Fisher and Austin Wuebbels.
Missouri is 3-2 against the spread this season and the total is also 3-2 in those games. Iowa St is 2-3 ATS this season and the total is 3-2 as well. Iowa St is 4-9 ATS versus teams with losing records, 2-5 ATS in the last 7 road games and overall, 3-9 ATS in the last 12 on turf, 1-4 following a straight up loss, 1-5 ATS in the last 6 October games, and 0-4 ATS in the last 4 conference games. Missouri is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 home games, 5-2 ATS in the last 7 as a favorite of 10.5 points or more, 3-7 ATS following a straight up loss, 1-5 ATS in the last 6 home against teams with winning road records, 1-5 ATS in the last 6 on turf.
All of the losses for these teams came to top 25 teams. Neither will compete with the elite teams in the Big 12 which is at least the second best conference in the country with 6 teams ranked in the top 25. However, they might be able to qualify for a lesser bowl game. I think Missouri is a better team, but I am not sure if they are 14.5 points better than Iowa St.
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