Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
Sunday, 11/18/12, 8:20 PM EST, TV: NBC
Opening Point Spread: Baltimore PK
Current Betting Line: Baltimore -3
Opening Total: 45.5
Current Total: 40
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker
Baltimore has won six of its last seven games, including a resounding 55-20 victory over the Oakland Raiders as 9.5-point home favorites, while the OVER has cashed in three of its last four contests. The Ravens have struggled offensively on the road in averaging just 17.5 points per game, while scoring 36.8 points a contest at M&T Bank Stadium. Baltimore is 5-2 ATS as a road favorite of three or fewer points since 2010, which is important to factor when making your Week 11 NFL picks against the spread.
The Ravens are 4-0 all-time against the Steelers when not having to face Ben Roethlisberger, who will be out of this week’s action with a sprained shoulder. Baltimore may have earned a blowout victory in its last contest, but its previous five victories came by an average of 4.6 points. Quarterback Joe Flacco will face a stiff challenge in going against the league’s No. 1 pass defense, which is why running back Ray Rice needs to get involved early. He has ran 47 times for 175 combined years in the team’s last three games.
Pittsburgh has been involved in some close games during its four-game win streak, including a 16-13 overtime victory over the Kansas City Chiefs as 12.5-point home favorites, while going UNDER the total for a fourth consecutive contest. The Steelers are 69-22-1 all-time when playing at Heinz Field, as they’ve won 11 of their last 12 games in front of their faithful fan base. Pittsburgh is 9-5 ATS versus division opponents over the last two-plus seasons, which makes them a dangerous home underdog on the pro football odds page.
The Steelers are definitely up against it without the services of their star quarterback, but head coach Mike Tomlin has led the franchise to a dominating 20-9 record in primetime games, including an 8-6 mark on Sunday Night Football. Pittsburgh has yielded just 49 points in four home games this season, while surrendering an average of 15.3 points per game at this venue since the 2004 campaign.
Sports bettors will likely back the Steelers due to their 4-0 ATS mark at home versus winning road teams, while the favorite is 3-7-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in this series.
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