Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills: NFL Week 4 Betting Odds and Picks

Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills
Sunday, 9/29/13, 1:00 PM EST
Opening Point Spread: Baltimore -3.5
Current Betting Line: Baltimore -2.5
Opening Total: 44.5
Current Total: 44
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Buffalo Bills are 9-13-1 ATS as underdogs since 2011

Baltimore will play the first of two-straight road games against AFC East opponents, as it comes off a 30-9 victory over the Houston Texans as one-point home favorites last Sunday, while going UNDER the betting total for a second consecutive contest. Since John Harbaugh’s arrival, the Ravens have gone 14-5 in September, which happens to be the league’s best record in that situation. The team has outscored the opposition by an average of 25.7-to-17.1 over that span—something that must be considered when making your NFL expert picks in Week 5.

The Ravens have scored 532 points off turnovers since 2008, which trails only the New England Patriots and Green Bay Packers in that particular category. Baltimore’s defense was expected to drop off after the retirement of linebacker Ray Lewis and the departure of safety Ed Reed, but the unit has allowed just two runs of 10-or-more yards this season, which happens to be the fewest in the league. It’s important to point out that the offense ranks 30th in the league in averaging just 308.3 yards per game.

Buffalo will return to Ralph Wilson Stadium, as it suffered a 27-20 setback to the New York Jets as 2.5-point road underdogs last week, while going OVER the betting total for a second consecutive contest. The Bills are 2-3 in their previous five meetings with the Ravens, which can’t be ignored when looking over the pro football odds page. Rookie quarterback EJ Manuel has impressed at time this season, but he completed just 19 of 42 passes for 243 yards with a touchdown last time out. Buffalo is 6-17 SU and 9-13-1 ATS as an underdog the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 16-7 in that situation.

The Bills have been hammered by injuries on the other side of the football, but ankle injuries are not expected to keep defensive linemen Mario Williams and Marcell Dareus from playing. Buffalo wide receiver Stevie Johnson has practiced in a limited fashion in practice this week, which may led to the offense relying heavily on its running game with running backs Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller.