Arizona Wildcats vs. Oregon Ducks
Saturday, 9/22/12, 10:30 PM EST, TV: ESPN
Opening Point Spread: Oregon -24
Current Betting Line: Oregon -23.5
Opening Total: 77.5
Current Total: 77.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker
Arizona has moved into the national rankings due to its perfect 3-0 start, but the program will now leave the desert for the first time under first-year head coach Rich Rodriguez. “They’ve got a lot of fast guys playing fast,” commented Rodriguez earlier this week. The Wildcats have taken to his spread-offense system, averaging 604.7 yards per game, with quarterback Matt Scott putting up big numbers. The senior has thrown for a career-high 995 yards and is 7-1 as a starter. Arizona is 4-6 ATS as an underdog the last two-plus seasons, which is something to handicap when making your Week 4 college football predictions.
The Wildcats are also averaging 247 rushing yards per game, which is a drastic improvement from ranking 114th in that category a year ago. Arizona has played nine true freshmen thus far, which is tied for third-most among Pac-12 Conference teams. This series has produced some fast-paced, high-scoring contests over the last six seasons, with the teams combining to average 75.7 points per game. Saturday’s visitor has lost four of the last six meetings.
Oregon has won 23 of 37 meetings in this series, including a 12-4 mark when playing in Eugene. The Ducks earned a 56-31 victory in last year’s meeting as 14.5-point road favorites, while they sailed over the posted total of 65. Total players will find that the OVER has cashed in four straight contests between these two rivals. Head coach Chip Kelly’s offense ranks fifth nationally in averaging 54.0 points per game. Oregon is 4-0 ATS as a home favorite of 21.5 to 28 points, with the OVER going 3-1 in that situation.
The Ducks have a legitimate 2012 Heisman Trophy candidate in all-purpose player De’Anthony Thomas, who happens to be tied for the national lead with seven touchdowns. Oregon has scored 30 or more points in 16 straight games, and will put its current six-game win streak on the line, which is the longest among conference members. If this game happens to be close in the final quarter, it’s important to note that the program is one of five that hasn’t made a field goal this year.
Sports bettors will likely play the Ducks as one of their NCAA football picks this week, as they’ve gone 5-1 ATS as favorites of 21.5 to 31 points.
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