UConn-UCF
Time: Noon ET, Oct 26, 2013
Spread: UCF -24
O/U: 53
Odds courtesy of Bovada
After taking down its first ranked opponent in school history, UCF made anther first: The Knights are ranked 23rd in the AP polls and now almost assuredly en route to a nice bowl invite. After defeating then-No. 8 Louisville last week, the Knights improved to 5-1 on the season including a perfect 2-0 AAC record. This week, UCF will find itself big favorites at home against a winless UConn team. College football oddsmakers at Bovada have set the line 24-points in favor of the home team Knights.
UCF has a versatile offense that relies heavily on the talents of QB Blake Bortles and RB Storm Johnson. Johnson was instrumental in the victory over Louisville and he has been the featured back for the Knights with 564 yards on 105 carries and 8 TDs. Bortles, meanwhile, now has 1,584 yards on the season with a 64 percent completion ratio, 11 TDs and 4 INTs. His QB rating of 157.7 ranks among the highest in D-1 QBs.
UCF’s defense has also been very tough, allowing just 19.7 points per game, and it also kept the clamps on Teddy Bridgewater. Expect it to exploit UConn’s weak offense, which generates just 16.3 points per game.
The Huskies rank 121st in rushing yardage and the pass offense hasn’t been as great as expected with Chandler Whitmer struggling a lot with his accuracy. Whitmer has thrown just 55 percent for completion and has more picks (6) than touchdowns (5). Lyle McCombs has been a steady back, but averages just 4.4 yards per carry. UConn will have a lot of trouble staying with UCF in this one and it should be a route en favor of the ranked Knights.
UConn Betting Trends:
0-4 ATS in last 4 after scoring less than 20 points in previous game; 0-6 ATS in last 6 in OCT; 1-7-1 ATS in last 9 following ATS loss.
UCF Betting Trends:
4-0 ATS in last 4 at home; OVER 4-0 in last 4 after allowing more than 280 passing yards in previous game; 5-0 ATS in last 5 on grass.
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