Miami (FL) at North Carolina
Time: 7 PM CST
Spread: UNC -3
Total: 47.5
Odds c/o 5dimes
The Miami Hurricanes are 0-1 after Its Week 1 loss to No. 8 Florida. It now travels to face North Carolina as 3-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 47.5 points and the game will air at 7 PM CST Saturday on the ACC Network.
MIA
Miami lost a close one to Florida in Week 1 after carrying a three-point lead into the fourth quarter. Jarren Williams completed 19 of 30 passes for 214 yards with a TD and no picks, and Williams rushed 15 times for a total loss of 43-yards. DeeJay Dallas was the only Hurricane with success rushing, as he picked up 94 yards on 11 carries with a TD. Miami as a team averaged just 2.4 yards-per-carry, but Dallas was good for 8.5 per. Brevin Jordan caught five passes for 88 yards with a TD and KJ Osborn caught four for 41 yards. Dallas caught four passes out of the backfield for another 37-yards, showing the versatility he has an offensive weapon for Miami.
Miami’s defense held Florida to just 50 rushing yards on 28 attempts (1.8 yards per). Lamical Perrine had 42 yards on 10 carries, but no other Gator had any sort of success. The secondary of the Hurricanes was also good in picking off two of Feleipe Franks’ passes, but it still did surrender 254 yards and two touchdowns. Guervan Hall Jr had eight tackles, three solo, and one for loss, and Scott Pachan, Shaq Quarterman, Al Blades Jr, and Jonathan Garvin all had four tackles or more. Miami’s pressure created just one QB sack and five tackles-for-loss, so it will need a lot of work to recapture the havoc it created in 2018.
NC
North Carolina won its week 1 matchup 24-20 over South Carolina. Sam Howell threw 15 of 24 for 245 yards and two TDs. Howell rushed 10 times for six total yards. Javonte Williams was the lead rusher with 18 carries for 102 yards and Michael Carter rushed 16 times for 77 yards. North Carolina averaged 4.6 yards-per-rush-attempt in the game and picked up 238 yards on the game. Dazz Newsome and Dyami Brown combined to catch eight passes for 143 total yards between them. Brown had a TD catch, as did Beau Corrales, who caught just one pass, a 17-yard TD reception.
North Carolina’s Chazz Surratt was a monster on defense. He had 12 tackles, including three solos, one sack and one tackle for loss. UNC had three sacks and seven tackles for loss, and it rushed Jake Bentley into a 16 of 30 performance that saw the South Carolina QB throw two interceptions.
ATS TRENDS
| Miami |
- Hurricanes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games in September.
- Hurricanes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Hurricanes are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
- Hurricanes are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.
- Hurricanes are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
- Hurricanes are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 conference games.
- Hurricanes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Hurricanes are 1-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
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| North Carolina |
- Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Tar Heels are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Tar Heels are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
- Tar Heels are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Tar Heels are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
- Tar Heels are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
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OU TRENDS
| Miami |
- Under is 7-0-1 in Hurricanes last 8 games overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Hurricanes last 4 games following a straight up loss.
- Under is 6-0 in Hurricanes last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Hurricanes last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-1 in Hurricanes last 5 games in September.
- Under is 4-1 in Hurricanes last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 11-4 in Hurricanes last 15 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 21-8-1 in Hurricanes last 30 road games.
- Under is 18-7-1 in Hurricanes last 26 games on grass.
- Under is 18-7-1 in Hurricanes last 26 conference games.
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| North Carolina |
- Over is 4-0-1 in Tar Heels last 5 conference games.
- Under is 4-1 in Tar Heels last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 6-2 in Tar Heels last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 9-3 in Tar Heels last 12 games in September.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Tar Heels last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-2 in Tar Heels last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 7-3-1 in Tar Heels last 11 games overall.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Home team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in North Carolina.
- Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
- Underdog is 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 meetings.
- Hurricanes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings in North Carolina.
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