DEN @ POR
Game 6
Nuggets Lead 3-2
Spread: POR -3.5
Total: 214
Odds c/o 5dimes
The Denver Nuggets have won the series’ last two games after falling behind 1-2 through three games. The Nuggets won Game 4 by a score of 116-112 and won Game 5 in a 124-98 blowout. Now the Nuggets can close out this series in Portland, but the Trail Blazers are 3.5-point favorites according to NBA oddsmakers at bookmaker 5dimes. The over/under is set at 214 points, and it has gone over that in three consecutive games in this series. The game will tip off at 9:30 CST on ESPN.
Denver’s depth made a tremendous difference in Game 5. The Nuggets got 33 points from its second unit, and the team shot 49.4 percent from the field in the win. The Nuggets got to the line to hit 28 of 31, and it won the battle of the boards 62 to 43. Though Portland committed just six turnovers in the blowout loss, the Blazers also shot just 36.7 percent from the floor and 27 percent from three-point range. Damian Lillard was just 9 of 21 from the field and CJ McCollum was limited to just 5 of 16 shooting.
Denver meanwhile got 24 points from Paul Millsap’s 9 of 16 shooting, and Nikola Jokic was huge as he has been in every game this series, finishing with 25 points, 19 rebounds, and six assists. The Nuggets combo of Jamal Murray and Jokic has been deftly skilled on the perimeter. The pair finished with 15 assists between them, and the Nuggets tallied 26 assists on its 44 made field goals.
Portland got good production again from Rodney Hood and Zach Collins off its bench, but Portland was largely misfiring all game. It has to find a way to get its star-studded backcourt going because a collective 14 of 37 shooting night from Lillard and McCollum will not result in many victories.
Additionally, Al-Farouq Aminu struggled after an outstanding showing in game 4. Game 5 saw Aminu connect on just 1 of 8 from the field while finishing with only four rebounds. The Nuggets adapted to Aminu’s understated brilliance, and it remains to be seen which Aminu Portland sees in Game 6. With the Blazers needing to avoid elimination it should be expected that its key performers come out focused and playing with their backs against the wall. This series likely goes seven after a Blazers’ win tonight.
ATS TRENDS (C/o Covers):
| Denver |
- Nuggets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Conference Semifinals games.
- Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.
- Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Nuggets are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 vs. NBA Northwest.
- Nuggets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.
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| Portland |
- Trail Blazers are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 Thursday games.
- Trail Blazers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games.
- Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.
- Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.
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OU TRENDS (C/o Covers):
| Denver |
- Over is 7-0 in Nuggets last 7 road games.
- Over is 7-0 in Nuggets last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 7-0 in Nuggets last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 8-1 in Nuggets last 9 Conference Semifinals games.
- Over is 8-1 in Nuggets last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Over is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Over is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 vs. NBA Northwest.
- Over is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 vs. Western Conference.
- Over is 7-2 in Nuggets last 9 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 21-9 in Nuggets last 30 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 15-7 in Nuggets last 22 games following a straight up win.
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| Portland |
- Over is 8-1 in Trail Blazers last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Over is 7-1 in Trail Blazers last 8 Conference Semifinals games.
- Over is 5-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 vs. Western Conference.
- Over is 5-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.
- Over is 14-3-1 in Trail Blazers last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
- Over is 24-8-2 in Trail Blazers last 34 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Over is 19-7-1 in Trail Blazers last 27 home games.
- Over is 10-4 in Trail Blazers last 14 games following a straight up loss.
- Over is 14-6-1 in Trail Blazers last 21 games following a ATS loss.
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