2018 NBA Playoffs on TNT: Portland Trail Blazers at New Orleans Pelicans

Jrue Holiday is playing like the All-Star he was early in his career in Philadelphia again.

Portland at New Orleans
Time: 4 PM CT (TNT)
Spread: NOP -7
Total: 216

Odds c/o 5dimes

The New Orleans Pelicans have dominated this series through three games, taking both games in Portland and winning Game 3 by a 119-102 score.

The Pelicans now can close it out in Game 4 with a sweep, and NBA oddsmakers at bookmaker 5dimes expect nothing less, setting the line 7-points in favor of the Pelicans.

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New Orleans has won the first three games by an average of 9.3 points, which makes the likelihood of Anthony Davis and company covering the spread pretty good. The over/under is set at 216 points, and the total has gone 192 points in Game 1, 213 points in Game 2 and 221 in Game 3.

Davis and combo guard Jrue Holiday are both playing their best basketball of the 2017-18 season. The Pelicans are hot. From Holiday’s defense on Damian Lillard to his prodigious scoring outputs, he is now looking like the player the Pelicans had no problems once trading its No. 6 overall pick (Nerlens Noel) for to the Philadelphia 76ers. While Holiday has battled injuries and personal problems ever since he is emerging in his All-Star form at just the right time.

Holiday held Lillard to 5 of 14 shooting while helping to force eight turnovers from Portland’s All-Star, all the while scoring 16 of his own, dishing seven assists, grabbing three rebounds and coming up with three steals. Holiday finished +19 for his 32 minutes of court time, which tied Nikola Mirotic for the best plus-minus of any Pelicans starter.

Mirotic has been downright impressive in his own right. Even since cutting off the grotesque beard that he wore most of his career. The former Chicago Bull had 30 points on 12 of 15 shooting including 4 of 6 from three-point range, to go along with eight rebounds, two assists, three steals and a block. Anthony Davis did his thing, of course, with 28 points, 11 rebounds and two assists—as well as five block/steals. The Pelicans received precious little help from its second unit, but the game was also never that close.

The Pelicans led by 16 points after the first quarter, and Portland never could manage to overcome that early deficit. New Orleans shot 53 percent from the field and hit 11 of 27 from downtown which enabled it to overcome a -6 disadvantage on the boards. The Pelicans also only had 12 turnovers while forcing 24 from the Blazers. There really is hardly a facet of this series the Pelicans have not dominated, which makes it an easy pick to wrap this series up with a sweep at the Smoothie King Center.

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ATS TRENDS

Portland
  • Trail Blazers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Trail Blazers are 7-23-2 ATS in their last 32 Conference Quarterfinals games.
  • Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
  • Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
  • Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.
  • Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Southwest.
New Orleans
  • Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Pelicans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Pelicans are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Pelicans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games.
  • Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.
  • Pelicans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games.
  • Pelicans are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
  • Pelicans are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 vs. Western Conference.
  • Pelicans are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win.
  • Pelicans are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
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