The Golden State Warriors won despite mediocre games from Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson. Despite Curry and Thompson both hitting the UNDER on the point prop bets, the Warriors won by 21 points.
With the momentum now in the Warriors’ hands and another game back at Oracle, Curry and company may be poised for another huge game.
Odds c/o Bovada
Stephen Curry:
26.5 Total Points (O -135, U +105)
Curry scored 22 in Game 4 but he was highly efficient. He knocked down 8 of 17 from the field, and looked to dish the ball a lot. His game looked on point. He hit 4 of 7 from three-point range and used the shot to create space that got him a lot of looks in the paint. He turned it over four times, but all the visual signs are there to suggest Curry has one of his blowup games. OVER.
4.5 Total Rebounds (O -115, U -115)
UNDER. Curry grabbed just two boards in Game 4, and the Warriors were again beat the glass at negative-5. Curry’s job is to get the team out in transition, and the only rebounds he typically gets in abundance are longer ones.
7 Total Assists (O -115, U -115)
We’ll stay away. The odds are even at -115, and this just isn’t enticing.
4.5 Made Threes (O +115, U -140)
On this we’ll go with the OVER. It offers +115 odds and he hit four in just seven attempts in Game 4. He typically gets up at least 10 threes a game and he’s hitting 4.5 per game in the postseason on 42 percent shooting.
Klay Thompson:
20.5 Total Points (O -130, U EVEN)
UNDER. Thompson is at EVEN odds on the under, and it is still a good bet. He’s scored just 23 points in the last two games combined, and was only OVER the mark the first two games. While he is averaging 27.5 points per game at Oracle, his recent performances will have to be shut out to put up 21 points or more. He’s let us down two times in a row, so there’s that, too.
6.5 Total Rebounds + Assists
OVER. He’s been good for six or more in three of the four games, because he had 16 boards through the first three games of the series. He is needed on the glass and his 6’7” size will help him bail the Warriors out of a series that has been very bitter to them inside.
2.5 Total Three Pointers (O -155, U +125)
OVER. It seems contradictory to assert he’ll be over this but under the point total, but that’s exactly what is expected here. He hit 3.5 threes per game in Games 1 and 2, but he still only shot 33 percent on those attempts, while going cold in Cleveland to hit just 3 of 12 from three. Thompson will get up 10 looks, knock down three, and hit the OVER.
Draymond Green:
13.5 Total Points (O -115, U -115)
UNDER Draymond Green is day to day with a back injury, but he had a great Game 4. Green scored 17 points, grabbed seven boards and dropped six assists. He did it all in 32 minutes, as the Warriors took him out while the team coasted late in the game. It was a big rebound for him after hitting just 2 of 10 from the floor in Game 3, but the under is still the call. It is at -115 odds which aren’t particularly attractive, but Green may yield a lot of minutes to David Lee, who has played well
8.5 Total Rebounds (O -115, U -115)
UNDER. He grabbed seven per game in the past two games. He’s just not having a lot of success on the glass with Tristan Thompson going beast mode on him in the paint.
4.5 Total Assists (O -115, U -115)
Staying away. Green has averaged 4.5 assists per game in the Finals, but been over that mark in just one of the four games. He’s too inconsistent in this stat to feel any certainty on even -115 odds.
