Cleveland Cavs’ point guard Matthew Dellavedova is one day removed from the hospital and one game removed from the best outing he has had as an NBA player. He held Stephen Curry to three points in the first half, but Steph got cooking in the second to score 24 points in the final two quarters and hit the ‘OVER’ on the 26.5 point prop bet set by Bovada.
Stephen Curry 28 Total Points (O -135; U +105)
OVER. The -135 odds for the over aren’t particularly attractive, but the assumption is that Curry’s second half of Game 3 is representative of what he’s going to be able to do, clearly. Curry scored 27 points on 10 of 20 shooting. He’s going to get that many looks at least again, and he won’t stop shooting.
Stephen Curry 6.5 Total Assists (O -155; U +125)
UNDER. Curry finished with six assists in Game 3 and five in Game 2. Game 1 saw him finish with eight but he averaged just five over the final two games of the Houston series, putting him UNDER this mark in four of his past five games.
Stephen Curry 3.5 Made Threes (O -260; U +200)
OVER. -260 isn’t great value, but the 3.5 mark is the right one to bet at. Curry has averaged 3.0 threes his past three games but he had seven in Game 3.
Stephen Curry 2 Total Steals (U -135; O +105)
Staying away from this. Neither odds are all that great value and Curry has been inconsistent with his steals. He’s been over this mark in two of the past five games, and he had three last game, but this is just too flippant to bet.
Klay Thompson 21.5 Total Points (O -125; U -105)
OVER. We’re going to play with averages here. Thompson scored 34 points in Game 2, and just 14 in game 3. The average here to remember is 24 points per game, what he has scored over his past two games. Thompson has to eventually field an “in between” performance after a very mediocre one and a great one. This will be the game Thompson scores 23 to 26 points.
Klay Thompson 6.5 Total Rebounds + Assists (O -115; U -115)
OVER. Thompson’s magic mark is ‘7.’ He’s been good for that in two of the past three games, and he was close last game with five boards and one assist. The -115 odds for both bets aren’t overly enticing, but the law of averages says this is a good over.
Klay Thompson 2.5 Made Threes (O -210; U +170)
OVER. Even at -210, this is the mark for Thompson. He’s averaged three triples per game over his past three.
Draymond Green 12 Total Points (O -115; U -115)
UNDER. Green just hasn’t been effective. He’s hit 4 of 17 from the floor over his past two games and in Game 1 he was 4 of 13 from the floor, just barely reaching the 12 point mark. He’s doing a lot for the Warriors, but he’s struggled to score of late.
Draymond Green 8.5 Total Rebounds (O -125; U -105)
Draymond Green is averaging 10.3 rebounds per game in the postseason, but he’s averaged just 8.5 the last two games of this series, and he had just six in Game 1. UNDER seems safe, even if Green has been a beast on the boards in the postseason. He hasn’t against Cleveland.