MLB Predictions: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

The New York Mets (27-29) and Philadelphia Phillies (24-30) will open up a National League East series Monday night at Citizens Bank Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

The New York Mets have won five of their last six games

New York has won five of its last six games, including a 4-3 victory over Philadelphia as +120 road underdogs Sunday, while pushing up against the betting total of 7. The Mets are back to two games under .500 for the first time since May 17, while they’ve also managed to capture 18 of their last 24 meetings against the Phillies at this ballpark. New York is 11-9 on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 since the start of the 2012 campaign.

Mets starting pitcher Bartolo Colon (4-5, 4.73 ERA) has registered back-to-back wins, including a 5-0 home victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates in his last trip to the mound—allowing just five hits over 7.1 shutout innings. The right-hander is 2-3 with a 6.51 ERA in six road appearances, with opposing hitters batting .321 against him. Colon is facing the Phillies for the first time since 2008, as he looks to improve upon his 1-2 record and 4.65 ERA in five career meetings.

Philadelphia is 4-6 over its last 10 contests, while the OVER is 5-4-1 in that span. The Phillies have batted .209 on their 11-game homestand that ends tonight, but first baseman Ryan Howard is starting to see the ball better—hitting four home runs in his last seven games with 14 RBIs. Philadelphia is 5-6 at home with a money line of -100 to -125 this season, with the OVER going 8-2-1 in that situation.

Phillies starting pitcher Roberto Hernandez (2-2, 3.76 ERA) didn’t earn a decision in a 6-3 home win over the Colorado Rockies last time out, as he gave up two runs and six hits over 5.2 innings of work. The right-hander has gone 1-1 with a 2.56 ERA in seven home outings (five starts)—issuing 20 walks and striking out 24 batters in 31.2 combined frames. In three career appearances versus the Mets, Hernandez has no record and a 1.50 ERA.