2013 NBA Playoffs – Eastern Conference Quarterfinals Game #5
#6 Atlanta Hawks at #3 Indiana Hoosiers
Best of Seven Series Tied 2-2
Wednesday, May 1, 2013, 8:00 pm Eastern, TV: NBA TV
Bankers Life Fieldhouse – Indianapolis, Indiana
Opening Line: Indiana -7
Current Line: Indiana -7
Opening Total: 188
Current Total: 187 1/2
Opening Money Line: Pacers -300 / Hawks +250
Current Money Line: Pacers -330 / Hawks +280
The Indiana Pacers and Atlanta hawks have played 8 times this season. The home team has won every game. Now the Hawks and Pacers are tied at 2 games apiece in their Eastern Conference quarterfinals with game five Wednesday night in Indianapolis. None of the four previous games in the series have been close. The Pacers won the first two games by scores of 107-90 and 113-98. the Hawks won the next two games by scores of 90-69 and 102-91 Monday night in Atlanta. The Pacers have lost 13 straight games in Atlanta. The Hawks are 21-84 in post-season road games as a franchise since 1968.
Atlanta is coached by Larry Drew. The Hawks are 39-45-2 ATS and the total is 45-40-1. Atlanta is outscoring teams 98-97.5 this season. The Hawks are shooting 46.4% from the field and 37.1% from 3 point range. Atlanta is #7 in both categories. The Hawks are #26 in free throw shooting at 71.5% from the line. Atlanta averages 40.9 rebounds per game and gives up 43.7 per game. The Hawks are 23rd or worse in both categories. Atlanta opponents are shooting 45% from the field and 37.9% from 3 point range. The Hawks are #28 in 3 point defense. Atlanta averages 24.5 assists, 8.1 steals, 4.5 blocks, and 14.3 turnovers per game.
Small forward Josh Smith averages 17.5 points, 8.4 rebounds, 4.2 assists, 1.2 steals, and 1.8 blocks per game. He is probable with an ankle injury. Center Al Horford averages 17.4 points, 10.2 rebounds, 3.2 assists, 1.1 steals, and 1.1 blocks per game. He is also probable with a shoulder injury. Point guard Jeff Teague averages 14.6 points, 2.3 rebounds, 7.2 assists, and 1.5 steals per game. Guard Louis Williams is out for the season with a knee injury after averaging 14 points in 39 games. Guard Kyle Korver averages 10.9 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists per game. Point guard Devin Harris averages 9.9 points, 3 assists, 2 rebounds, and 1.1 steals per game. Ivan Johnson, John Jenkins, DeShawn Stevenson, and Anthony Tolliver all get significant minutes as well. Center Zaza Pachulia is out for the season with a torn Achilles’ tendon.
Indiana is coached by Frank Vogel. The Pacers are 44-41 ATS and the total is 41-43-1 this season. The Pacers are outscoring teams 95-91 this season. Indiana is second in the league in points allowed and #23 in scoring. The Pacers are shooting 43.6% from the field and 34.7% from 3 point range. Indiana is 22nd or worse in both categories. The Pacers make 74.6% of their free throws. Indiana leads the league in rebounding at 45.8 per game, and are #8 in rebounds allowed at 40.9. Indiana opponents are shooting 42% from the field and 32.7% from 3 point range. The Pacers lead the league in both categories. Indiana averages 20.3 assists, 7.2 steals, 6.3 blocks, and 14.5 turnovers.
Small forward Paul George averages 17.4 points, 7.6 rebounds, 4.1 assists, and 1.8 steals per game. Power forward David West averages 17.1 points, 7.7 rebounds, 2.9 assists, 1 steal, and 1 block a game. West is probable with an ankle injury. Point guard George Hill averages 14.2 points, 3.7 rebounds, 4.7 assists, and 1.1 steals a game. Center Roy Hibbert averages 11.9 points, 8.3 rebounds and 2.6 blocks per game. Shooting guard Lance Stephenson averages 8.8 points, 3.9 rebounds, 2.9 assists, and 1 steal a game. Tyler Hansbrough, Gerald Green, Ian Mahinmi, and D.J. Augustin make up the rest of the rotation. Indiana has had success despite All-Star forward Danny Granger missing all but 5 games with a knee injury.
The Hawks are 2-5 ATS after a straight up win of 10 points or more, 4-10 overall, 3-10 against Eastern Conference teams, 1-5 after a straight up win, and on one day rest, and 0-5 after scoring 100 points or more. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 in this series and 5-0 in Indianapolis.
Indiana is 7-2 ATS in Wednesday games, 11-5 after allowing 100 points or more, 2-5 at home, 4-11 against teams with winning records, 1-4 after a straight up loss of 10 points or more, 2-8 overall, 2-9 against Eastern Conference teams, 1-6 after a straight up loss, and after failing to cover, and 0-5 after the opponent scored 100 points or more. The favorite is 23-6 ATS and the home team is 21-7 ATS in the series. The Pacers are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 at home against the Hawks.
I know it is difficult to win on the road in the NBA but The Pacers are so good at home and so bad on the road. Atlanta coach Larry Drew started a bigger line-up in games 3 and 4 and the Pacers struggled to score. Indiana coach Frank Vogel will have to make some adjustments. I think Indiana comes out with close win at home.
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