No. 12 Oregon Ducks at No. 1 Louisville Cardinals
Friday, 3/28/13, 7:15 PM EST, TV: CBS
Opening Point Spread: Louisville -9.5
Current Betting Line: Louisville -10
Opening Total: 127.5
Current Total: 130
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker
Oregon picked up wins against the Saint Louis Billikens and Oklahoma State Cowboys to arrive in the Sweet 16, while the program has covered the spread in four consecutive contests overall. The Ducks are 14-9 all-time in NCAA Tournament games, which can’t be ignored when making your college basketball picks against the spread Friday night. Of the 16 teams remaining in the Big Dance, 13 have won national championships, with Oregon winning the first-ever title in 1939. Over the last two-plus seasons, the team is 6-3-1 ATS on a neutral floor, as it prepares to play at Lucas Oil Stadium.
The Ducks were led by freshman Damyean Dotson in their victory over the Billikens, as he finished with a career-high 23 points, which was made possible by drilling a career-high five 3-pointers. Oregon is 6-1 against ranked teams during the 2012-13 NCAA basketball season.
Louisville has won 12 consecutive games by an average margin of 17.8 points, including a convincing 82-56 victory over the Colorado State Rams as 11-point neutral-site favorites in the Round of 32. The Cardinals have forced an average of 18.8 turnovers and collected an average of 11.3 steals during that period of time. Shooting guard Russ Smith is certainly the player to watch, averaging 18.7 points over the winning streak. Louisville is 20-3-1 ATS in March the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 14-10 in that situation.
The Cardinals have one of the more talented rosters in the country, but their true edge in this event is coach Rick Pitino, who has compiled a dominating 44-16 record in NCAA Tournament play. Louisville is playing as a No. 1 seed for the third time in the Big Dance, as it looks to improve upon its 8-2 mark in that situation. The squad is 43-8 in the NCAAs when playing as a higher seed.
Sports bettors will likely back the Cardinals due to their 10-1 ATS mark in their last 11 games, while the Ducks are 15-18 ATS on the season.
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