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SITE FEATURES
Basketball Season Welcome Page
Hello and welcome to another basketball season. I know a lot of you have been on the members list for years but there are always new signups that don’t understand how the release process works as well as have other frequently asked questions. This page will answer just about everything. If you do have other questions feel free to reply back to the email and we will answer and possibly add it to this page for future use.
RELEASE PROCESS
Most of the time we will send out an email from the madduxsports@aol.com
email account. Usually this email will in be sent late the night
before as the college lines are moving too fast in the morning.
If there are no early picks we will the email will come in the
late morning/early afternoon. If you dont have the email by
the morning, please dont flood our inbox with emails or ring
the office line off the hook as it probably just means we haven't
released anything yet and responding to emails and taking phone
calls just delays getting the information out. In this initial
email there will be some early picks for the day as well as
a link to a page on our website where all the picks we release
for the day will be listed so you can make sure you have bet
all the games we have released at days end. An example of that
page can be found
here.
Anytime we add a pick for the day you will get an email notification with the subject “Picks Notification.” The email address that this email comes from will be maddux@movetheline.com. Be sure to add both email addresses to your contacts list so the emails are delivered directly into your inbox. In that email it will say the sport and what the pick is. Once a pick is released it will be emailed to you and also added to that daily page. Occasionally everything for the day may just be sent via the notification system if there is no time to make up a new url for the day.
Additional emails are sent throughout the day with added picks. We try to have the picks out as soon as possible and College basketball is normally done in the morning. The NBA on the other hand is a little more difficult because injuries are so important and are often not known until the starting lineups are announced. To give an example in the 2012 season Denver Nuggets point guard Ty Lawson played in 73 games, the Over went 46-27, in the 9 games he missed the Over went 2-7. Obviously if we are considering releasing the Over in a Nuggets game we want Lawson in the starting lineup and to be sure he is playing. There are numerous players that are similar to Lawson and are very important to the side or total and we need to confirm these before releasing some of the plays. Now a lot of the times the injury report is clean and most of the stuff will be out in the early afternoon but there could be plays released as late as 20 mins prior to tip on the early games on occasion. Normally the latest a play would be released is 6:45 eastern time and we will do our best not to release past that time and not to make a routine out of it.
This gives us the best advantage of timing your bets as well as gives us ample time to handicap and have all the information at our finger tips so that we can provide the highest quality of picks. For the 2013 season, we will be adding additional picks reserved just for the monthly and seasonal members. We are always on the lookout for ways that will increase profit for you guys and I think this additional late release will add value to the service at no extra charge.
If you don’t want to receive the email notifications of pick releases and would rather just check the daily update page just reply back to the email and we will remove you from the notifications list.
MEMBERS EMAIL ADDRESS
For faster responses to questions always email madduxsports@aol.com.
Dont reply to the newsletter@madduxsports.com email if you get
the free picks if you have concerns, same thing with the contact
form on the website. Those mail boxes a lot of the time filter
legitimate email into our spam and your question will go unanswered.
The madduxsports@aol.com email address is monitored all day
long and will get you the quickest reply back.
RATING OF PICKS
We rate our picks as either 10 or 20 unit picks. By no means
are these 20 unit picks “locks”. They are slightly
stronger than the 10 unit plays and should be bet at most double
the amount you wager on 10 unit picks. Personally 1.5 times
is a more reasonable strategy and depending on betting limits
1.5x is the most we will ever wager in our own personal wagering.
There are going to be plenty of times were the 20s go down in
smoke, do not reply back saying nice pick or that pick sucked.
This is a big boy service for serious people that treat this
as a means of investment, we have no time for childish or negative
reply's.
BET SIZE
How much should I bet per game? We get this question asked all
the time and the honest answer is that is entirely dependant
on a number of factors. What your goal of sports betting is,
is your bankroll replenishable, what is your risk tolerance,
what is the size of your bankroll are just a handful of the
questions that need to be answered first. The safest answer
is almost all your bets should be around 2-4% of your bankroll,
this figure is suitable for most. Folks that want to be more
conservative and have larger bankrolls should steer closer to
the 2%. Bettors that enjoy more risk vs reward or have a bankroll
that is replenishable can come closer to the 4% or higher range.
MARCH MADNESS & NBA PLAYOFFS
Both of these are included in the cost of the season package
and monthly members receive these picks as well. We
do recommend betting 1/3 the amount you normally would during
the regular season on NCAA tournament games and 1/2 on the NBA
playoffs. This is what we personally do in our own
betting. While the postseason does offer some good wagering
opportunities we have found that our edge is not as big in the
postseason tournaments versus the regular season.
NUMBER OF PICKS
We average about 4 picks when NBA and College basketball are
in full swing. Sometimes we may find more, other times we will
release less. It all just depends on how much value we see on
the board for the day and how big the schedule is in both NBA
and College. Obviously before CBB seasons and after it ends
the number average number of plays shrinks since there is less
games on the board to fire at.
LINES
When we send out our picks the line we use to grade the pick
is the widely available line at the time of release. We define
widely available as a line that is at 50% of the internet/vegas
well respected sportsbooks. Lines do move and there are times
where you will get a better line than us and vice versa. We
cannot offer advice on what to do after a line has moved after
our release as responding to requests like this takes time away
from handicapping.
WHERE CAN I BET THESE GAMES AT
If you visit the sportsbooks
page on the website it will list all of the recommended
online sportsbooks that we consider safe and reliable.
RESULTS
There will be ups and downs along the way of a basketball season.
While we expect to turn a profit every single day unfortunately
this doesn't happen. We judge results at season’s end
not over a day to day or week to week basis. Remember that we
are betting these same games that you are. Sending an email
after a losing day while may make you feel better does nothing
but waste our time. Time that could have been spent handicapping
the next days games.
If you bet all the games we give out this will give you the best chance to win at years end. Picking and choosing which games you want to bet is ultimately your decision but remember why you signed up with us in the first place. If you miss out on a total or a pick on game day dont fret, it is a long season and there are plenty of profitable wagering opportunities the rest of the way.
CLOSING NOTES
I can guarantee that no other public handicapper gives you a
better chance to turn a profit betting basketball than Maddux
Sports. We are one of the few guys out that actually does win
over the long run and one of the few that actually bets all
the games they give out. There is a reason that the price of
our picks is cheaper than most as a lot of income is earned
playing the games ourselves. We thank you for your order and
wish you the best of luck this season.



